06/08/2026
"El Niño is not just on our doorstep, it is inside the house and turning up the heat."
Those are the words of United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres, responding to a new warning from the World Meteorological Organization based here in Geneva: a strong El Niño is developing and expected to intensify throughout August–October 2026.
What does that mean in practice?
🌡️ Above-normal temperatures forecast across most of Africa, southern Europe, the Arabian Peninsula, South Asia, eastern Asia, Central America, the Caribbean, and South America
🌧️ Wetter-than-normal conditions expected in the Greater Horn of Africa, parts of Central Asia, southeastern South America, and southern Europe
🏜️ Drier-than-normal conditions forecast across the Indian subcontinent, southern and eastern Australia, northwestern South America, and northern Europe
Sea surface temperature anomalies in key monitoring regions are expected to exceed 2.9°C compounded by exceptionally warm global oceans and a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole.
WMO and its partners across the UN system are already briefing governments, humanitarian agencies, and climate-sensitive sectors to act before impacts unfold.
As WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo put it: "The decisions we make today will shape the impacts we experience tomorrow."
Full report 👉 link in comments