08/12/2026
We are absolutely rubbish at affective forecasting, and once you really take that in, it loosens the grip of every doom-certain thought you've ever had. Your devastatingly convincing internal argument? May not even be correct.
Here's the part people hate: your close friends and family are often better at predicting how something will land for you than you are. And in genuinely complex decisions, the rational brain that's so sure of itself is too slow and too easily fooled. Folks who learn to trust a trained gut tend to do better.
None of this means stop thinking. It means stop treating one loud thought as the whole truth. Zoom out. Consult the body. Tag the friend who needs to read slide three.