28/08/2026
The load on the bar is objective. The % it represents isn’t always.
A newly published study in Sports Medicine – Open examined how accurately different methods estimated maximal strength as fatigue accumulated during resistance exercise.
The key finding: estimates based on a previously established 1RM became progressively less representative of the athlete’s current capacity as fatigue increased. Under the highest fatigue condition, 1RM-based prescription overestimated available strength by ~16 kg.
Velocity-based estimates were considerably more stable.
That doesn’t mean percentage-based programming is suddenly useless, or that everyone needs expensive VBT equipment.
It does reinforce an important coaching principle:
Training prescription should respond to the athlete, not just the spreadsheet.
Load, bar speed, RPE/RIR, previous training, sleep and general readiness can all provide context around what an athlete is actually capable of on a given day.
Sports Medicine – Open (2026)
DOI: 10.1186/s40798-026-01097-8